Earnings 5y — Patterns v4

Setup	Entry	Side	N	5y WR	Last 2q	Slope/qtr	Mean%
gap_entry=gap_dn10%	9:00	SHORT	179	58.7%	81.8%	+2.8pp	+1.2
gap_dir=-1 + prev_day up5% (overnight reversal)	8:00	SHORT	49	85.7%	100%	+2.8pp	+4.59
Comm Services + gap_dir=-1	8:00	SHORT	65	80%	90%	+3.5pp	+2.26
Tech + gap_dn10%	8:00	SHORT	68	63.2%	88.9%	+4.3pp	+1.74
pm_vol_rel<0.3× (quiet PM)	8:00	SHORT	206	54.4%	60%	+2.9pp	+0.93
pre_drift=+10% (rally → fade)	9:00	SHORT	65	63.1%	73.3%	+2.6pp	+1.34
Utilities + pos_ta_800=LOW	8:00	LONG	48	62.5%	100%	+5.5pp	+1.35
pre_drift=+5% + pos_ta_800=MIDH	8:00	LONG	57	57.9%	100%	+5.7pp	+1.69
Consumer Defensive + Wed	9:00	LONG	64	59.4%	100%	+7.1pp	+1.63
Consumer Defensive (any)	9:00	LONG	300	53%	70.3%	+1.5pp	+0.19
prev_day dn5% (bounce)	8:00	LONG	115	53%	61.3%	+7.4pp	+1.30
pm_vol_rel >5× median (frenzy)	8:00	LONG	63	54%	66.7%	+10.3pp ⚡	+0.59

SHORT_KINGS (consistent earnings faders, 5y)

N_5y≥15, classified SHORT_KING.

Ticker	Sector	Mcap	N_5y	N_2y	5y WR	5y mean%	2y WR	2y mean%	Δ WR
APTV	nan	$0B	21	8	100%	+16.05	100%	+15.52	+0%
BDX	Healthcare	$0B	21	8	100%	+22.08	100%	+21.57	+0%
BN	nan	$0B	19	8	100%	+34.91	100%	+25.04	+0%
CMCSA	Communication Services	$0B	21	8	100%	+7.91	100%	+7.89	+0%
HON	Industrials	$0B	21	8	95%	+5.86	88%	+5.56	-8%
WDC	Technology	$0B	21	8	95%	+19.81	88%	+13.64	-8%
TRP	nan	$0B	21	8	95%	+6.70	88%	+2.36	-8%
FAST	Industrials	$0B	21	7	95%	+42.54	86%	+27.75	-10%
MMM	Industrials	$0B	21	8	90%	+10.64	75%	+0.80	-16%
FTV	Technology	$0B	21	8	90%	+21.50	75%	+15.63	-16%
APG	Industrials	$0B	20	7	90%	+28.16	71%	+19.21	-19%
PANW	Technology	$0B	22	9	86%	+47.18	67%	+17.26	-20%
ETR	Utilities	$0B	21	8	86%	+38.01	62%	+18.64	-23%
PCAR	Industrials	$0B	21	8	81%	+15.83	75%	+2.61	-6%
NYT	Communication Services	$0B	21	8	81%	+1.35	75%	+1.87	-6%
WRB	Financial	$0B	21	8	81%	+26.90	50%	+3.74	-31%
APH	Technology	$0B	21	8	81%	+34.88	50%	+7.44	-31%
CTAS	Industrials	$0B	21	8	81%	+49.72	50%	+8.78	-31%
TPG	Financial	$0B	17	8	76%	+1.06	75%	+1.07	-2%
ODFL	Industrials	$0B	21	8	76%	+30.66	38%	-0.33	-39%

LONG_KINGS (consistent earnings pumpers, 5y)

N_5y≥15, classified LONG_KING. Rare.

Ticker	Sector	Mcap	N_5y	N_2y	5y WR	5y mean%	2y WR	2y mean%	Δ WR
UL	nan	$0B	21	8	100%	+11.67	100%	+10.42	+0%
HPQ	Technology	$0B	20	8	75%	+0.76	75%	+0.80	+0%
BSY	Technology	$0B	21	8	71%	+1.06	75%	+1.24	+4%
ENPH	Technology	$0B	21	8	71%	+1.36	75%	+1.51	+4%
BROS	Consumer Cyclical	$0B	18	8	67%	+2.39	75%	+1.54	+8%
BSX	Healthcare	$0B	21	8	67%	+0.81	38%	-0.08	-29%
FOXA	Communication Services	$0B	21	8	67%	+0.63	62%	+1.23	-4%
NVT	nan	$0B	21	8	67%	+0.78	75%	+1.48	+8%
RMBS	Technology	$0B	21	8	67%	+0.56	75%	+1.29	+8%
WELL	Real Estate	$0B	21	8	67%	+0.83	88%	+0.95	+21%

📈 Rising Stars (2024-26)

🆕 Emerging LONG edge (L2_WR≥70%)

Recent WR≥70% on LONG. Mostly defensive names.

Ticker	Sector	Mcap	N_5y	N_2y	5y WR	5y mean%	2y WR	2y mean%	Δ WR
UL	nan	$0B	21	8	100%	+11.67	100%	+10.42	+0%
ONON	nan	$0B	18	8	56%	+1.58	88%	+5.22	+32%
IOT	Technology	$0B	17	8	59%	+1.13	88%	+2.35	+29%
GSK	nan	$0B	20	8	55%	+0.28	88%	+1.39	+32%
DHR	Healthcare	$0B	21	8	38%	-5.12	88%	+1.37	+49%
RF	Financial	$0B	21	8	52%	-0.26	88%	+1.26	+35%
TJX	Consumer Cyclical	$0B	21	8	62%	+0.82	88%	+0.99	+26%
OXY	Energy	$0B	21	8	62%	+0.21	88%	+0.95	+26%
WELL	Real Estate	$0B	21	8	67%	+0.83	88%	+0.95	+21%
D	Utilities	$0B	21	8	67%	+0.23	88%	+0.85	+21%
GILD	Healthcare	$0B	21	8	57%	+0.08	88%	+0.57	+30%
PLD	Real Estate	$0B	21	8	62%	-0.01	88%	+0.17	+26%
TECH	Healthcare	$0B	21	8	43%	-26.98	75%	+2.99	+32%
SPGI	Financial	$0B	21	8	57%	+0.58	75%	+2.14	+18%
CTSH	Technology	$0B	21	8	62%	+0.77	75%	+2.13	+13%
BWA	Consumer Cyclical	$0B	21	8	33%	-5.52	75%	+2.12	+42%
MDLZ	Consumer Defensive	$0B	21	8	62%	+0.65	75%	+1.66	+13%
KNX	Industrials	$0B	21	8	62%	+0.94	75%	+1.59	+13%
BROS	Consumer Cyclical	$0B	18	8	67%	+2.39	75%	+1.54	+8%
KR	Consumer Defensive	$0B	21	8	57%	+0.48	75%	+1.54	+18%

Still-Working SHORT (S2_WR≥75%)

Recent WR≥75% on SHORT.

Ticker	Sector	Mcap	N_5y	N_2y	5y WR	5y mean%	2y WR	2y mean%	Δ WR
BN	nan	$0B	19	8	100%	+34.91	100%	+25.04	+0%
BDX	Healthcare	$0B	21	8	100%	+22.08	100%	+21.57	+0%
APTV	nan	$0B	21	8	100%	+16.05	100%	+15.52	+0%
CMCSA	Communication Services	$0B	21	8	100%	+7.91	100%	+7.89	+0%
PSTG	nan	$0B	21	8	71%	+1.23	100%	+3.17	+29%
ADSK	Technology	$0B	21	8	67%	+0.45	100%	+1.33	+33%
WDC	Technology	$0B	21	8	95%	+19.81	88%	+13.64	-8%
HON	Industrials	$0B	21	8	95%	+5.86	88%	+5.56	-8%
TRP	nan	$0B	21	8	95%	+6.70	88%	+2.36	-8%
JD	nan	$0B	21	8	57%	+0.51	88%	+2.02	+30%
GAP	Consumer Cyclical	$0B	21	8	67%	+0.48	88%	+1.86	+21%
PYPL	Financial	$0B	21	8	71%	+0.83	88%	+1.85	+16%
NET	Technology	$0B	21	8	62%	+0.06	88%	+1.59	+26%
ZS	Technology	$0B	21	8	52%	-0.00	88%	+1.25	+35%
LLY	Healthcare	$0B	21	8	57%	+0.18	88%	+1.19	+30%
INTC	Technology	$0B	21	8	52%	+0.32	88%	+1.04	+35%
MRK	Healthcare	$0B	21	8	71%	+0.84	88%	+0.95	+16%
FAST	Industrials	$0B	21	7	95%	+42.54	86%	+27.75	-10%
SCHW	Financial	$0B	21	7	76%	+1.24	86%	+1.85	+10%
STT	Financial	$0B	21	7	62%	+0.47	86%	+1.76	+24%

Biggest LONG WR surges (Δ≥+20pp)

Flipped to LONG-positive recently.

Ticker	Sector	Mcap	N_5y	N_2y	5y WR	5y mean%	2y WR	2y mean%	Δ WR
DHR	Healthcare	$0B	21	8	38%	-5.12	88%	+1.37	+49%
CELH	Consumer Defensive	$0B	21	8	29%	-38.13	75%	+0.51	+46%
BWA	Consumer Cyclical	$0B	21	8	33%	-5.52	75%	+2.12	+42%
WMT	Consumer Defensive	$0B	21	8	24%	-40.98	62%	+1.13	+39%
RF	Financial	$0B	21	8	52%	-0.26	88%	+1.26	+35%
TWLO	Technology	$0B	21	8	29%	-1.30	62%	-0.19	+34%
GSK	nan	$0B	20	8	55%	+0.28	88%	+1.39	+32%
AMH	Real Estate	$0B	21	8	43%	-0.37	75%	+0.50	+32%
TECH	Healthcare	$0B	21	8	43%	-26.98	75%	+2.99	+32%
SMTC	Technology	$0B	21	8	43%	-0.84	75%	+1.27	+32%
EXEL	Healthcare	$0B	21	8	43%	-0.49	75%	+1.16	+32%
ONON	nan	$0B	18	8	56%	+1.58	88%	+5.22	+32%
ODFL	Industrials	$0B	21	8	19%	-30.92	50%	+0.07	+31%
MPC	Energy	$0B	21	8	19%	-0.77	50%	+0.01	+31%
WRB	Financial	$0B	21	8	19%	-27.16	50%	-4.00	+31%
CTAS	Industrials	$0B	21	8	19%	-49.98	50%	-9.04	+31%
GILD	Healthcare	$0B	21	8	57%	+0.08	88%	+0.57	+30%
IOT	Technology	$0B	17	8	59%	+1.13	88%	+2.35	+29%
NDAQ	Financial	$0B	20	8	35%	-20.20	62%	+0.04	+28%
BF.B	nan	$0B	21	8	48%	-0.33	75%	+1.46	+27%

Biggest SHORT WR surges (Δ≥+20pp)

Flipped to SHORT-profitable recently.

Ticker	Sector	Mcap	N_5y	N_2y	5y WR	5y mean%	2y WR	2y mean%	Δ WR
BRK.B	nan	$0B	20	7	35%	-0.09	71%	+0.14	+36%
ZS	Technology	$0B	21	8	52%	-0.00	88%	+1.25	+35%
INTC	Technology	$0B	21	8	52%	+0.32	88%	+1.04	+35%
TMUS	Communication Services	$0B	21	8	29%	-0.61	62%	+0.07	+34%
NI	Utilities	$0B	21	8	29%	-0.26	62%	+0.65	+34%
ADSK	Technology	$0B	21	8	67%	+0.45	100%	+1.33	+33%
RCL	Consumer Cyclical	$0B	21	8	43%	-0.04	75%	+0.96	+32%
NXPI	nan	$0B	21	8	43%	-0.54	75%	+0.43	+32%
AA	Basic Materials	$0B	21	8	43%	+0.10	75%	+1.07	+32%
SAP	nan	$0B	22	8	32%	-0.46	62%	-0.01	+31%
JD	nan	$0B	21	8	57%	+0.51	88%	+2.02	+30%
LLY	Healthcare	$0B	21	8	57%	+0.18	88%	+1.19	+30%
UUUU	Energy	$0B	14	5	50%	-0.24	80%	+1.16	+30%
ASX	nan	$0B	14	5	50%	+0.46	80%	+1.66	+30%
BSX	Healthcare	$0B	21	8	33%	-1.07	62%	-0.18	+29%
BEN	Financial	$0B	21	8	33%	-0.73	62%	+0.60	+29%
PSTG	nan	$0B	21	8	71%	+1.23	100%	+3.17	+29%
BX	Financial	$0B	22	8	36%	-0.54	62%	-0.21	+26%
NET	Technology	$0B	21	8	62%	+0.06	88%	+1.59	+26%
PINS	Communication Services	$0B	21	8	38%	-0.08	62%	+0.35	+24%

🏭 Sector Pattern Summary

📊 Iconic Ticker Behavior — last 3 earnings per ticker

Sector	# Tickers	SHORT_KINGS	LONG_KINGS	Avg 2y SHORT WR	Avg 2y LONG WR
Financial	63	10	0	51%	44%
Industrials	39	10	0	52%	42%
Technology	84	9	4	51%	44%
Communication Services	24	8	1	51%	43%
Consumer Defensive	37	5	0	45%	50%
Healthcare	34	5	1	50%	43%
Consumer Cyclical	44	4	1	48%	46%
Energy	35	3	0	43%	48%
Utilities	22	2	0	44%	47%
Basic Materials	15	0	0	45%	44%
Real Estate	20	0	1	42%	51%

NVDA · SHORT_KING

Technology · $0B SHORT 5y: WR 71% · mean +60.47% LONG 5y: WR 19% · mean -60.73% 2y: S 25% · L 50% |gap| 913.8% · pm_range 40.1%

NVDA 2026-02-26 · AMC · c_m1=$195.56

SHORT +1.32%

NVDA 2025-11-20 · AMC · c_m1=$186.52

SHORT -0.31%

NVDA 2025-08-28 · AMC · c_m1=$181.6

SHORT -0.91%

TSLA · SHORT_KING

Consumer Cyclical · $0B SHORT 5y: WR 76% · mean +22.04% LONG 5y: WR 19% · mean -22.30% 2y: S 62% · L 38% |gap| 71.5% · pm_range 6.6%

TSLA 2026-01-29 · AMC · c_m1=$431.46

SHORT +0.48%

TSLA 2025-10-23 · AMC · c_m1=$438.97

SHORT +0.22%

TSLA 2025-07-24 · AMC · c_m1=$332.56

SHORT +0.48%

AAPL · mixed

Technology · $0B SHORT 5y: WR 48% · mean -0.30% LONG 5y: WR 43% · mean +0.04% 2y: S 50% · L 25% |gap| 2.3% · pm_range 2.9%

AAPL 2026-01-30 · AMC · c_m1=$258.28

SHORT +0.49%

AAPL 2025-10-31 · AMC · c_m1=$271.4

SHORT -0.02%

AAPL 2025-08-01 · AMC · c_m1=$207.57

SHORT +0.11%

AMZN · short_lean

Consumer Cyclical · $0B SHORT 5y: WR 57% · mean +27.00% LONG 5y: WR 29% · mean -27.26% 2y: S 50% · L 38% |gap| 543.8% · pm_range 19.2%

AMZN 2026-02-06 · AMC · c_m1=$222.69

SHORT +0.87%

AMZN 2025-10-31 · AMC · c_m1=$222.86

SHORT +0.28%

AMZN 2025-08-01 · AMC · c_m1=$234.11

SHORT -0.99%

INTC · mixed

Technology · $0B SHORT 5y: WR 52% · mean +0.32% LONG 5y: WR 43% · mean -0.58% 2y: S 88% · L 12% |gap| 7.3% · pm_range 5.0%

INTC 2026-01-23 · AMC · c_m1=$54.32

SHORT +0.78%

INTC 2025-10-24 · AMC · c_m1=$38.16

SHORT +1.95%

INTC 2025-07-25 · AMC · c_m1=$22.63

SHORT +1.32%

AMD · mixed

Technology · $0B SHORT 5y: WR 33% · mean -0.19% LONG 5y: WR 48% · mean -0.07% 2y: S 25% · L 50% |gap| 5.3% · pm_range 4.4%

AMD 2026-02-04 · AMC · c_m1=$242.11

SHORT +4.69%

AMD 2025-11-05 · AMC · c_m1=$250.05

SHORT -0.15%

AMD 2025-08-06 · AMC · c_m1=$174.31

SHORT -0.86%

COIN · long_lean

Financial · $0B SHORT 5y: WR 40% · mean -0.65% LONG 5y: WR 60% · mean +0.39% 2y: S 62% · L 38% |gap| 5.2% · pm_range 7.2%

COIN 2026-02-13 · AMC · c_m1=$141.09

SHORT -3.27%

COIN 2025-10-31 · AMC · c_m1=$328.51

SHORT +1.77%

COIN 2025-08-01 · AMC · c_m1=$377.76

SHORT +1.67%

PLTR · mixed

Technology · $0B SHORT 5y: WR 43% · mean +0.04% LONG 5y: WR 52% · mean -0.30% 2y: S 25% · L 75% |gap| 10.7% · pm_range 10.8%

PLTR 2026-02-03 · AMC · c_m1=$147.76

SHORT -1.02%

PLTR 2025-11-04 · AMC · c_m1=$207.18

SHORT -0.29%

PLTR 2025-08-05 · AMC · c_m1=$160.66

SHORT -0.28%

NFLX · SHORT_KING

Communication Services · $0B SHORT 5y: WR 95% · mean +85.54% LONG 5y: WR 5% · mean -85.80% 2y: S 88% · L 12% |gap| 859.8% · pm_range 41.2%

NFLX 2026-01-21 · AMC · c_m1=$87.26

SHORT -1.99%

NFLX 2025-10-22 · AMC · c_m1=$124.135

SHORT +89.95%

NFLX 2025-07-18 · AMC · c_m1=$127.417

SHORT +89.86%

MU · mixed

Technology · $0B SHORT 5y: WR 36% · mean -0.16% LONG 5y: WR 59% · mean -0.10% 2y: S 50% · L 50% |gap| 5.9% · pm_range 4.9%

MU 2026-03-19 · AMC · c_m1=$461.73

SHORT +1.50%

MU 2025-12-18 · AMC · c_m1=$225.52

SHORT -0.74%

MU 2025-09-24 · AMC · c_m1=$166.41

SHORT -0.54%

BABA · short_lean

nan · $0B SHORT 5y: WR 67% · mean +0.41% LONG 5y: WR 29% · mean -0.67% 2y: S 75% · L 25% |gap| 4.0% · pm_range 8.2%

BABA 2026-03-19 · BMO · c_m1=$134.43

SHORT +4.15%

BABA 2025-11-25 · BMO · c_m1=$160.73

SHORT +0.17%

BABA 2025-08-29 · BMO · c_m1=$119.57

SHORT -4.73%

WMT · SHORT_KING

Consumer Defensive · $0B SHORT 5y: WR 71% · mean +40.72% LONG 5y: WR 24% · mean -40.98% 2y: S 25% · L 62% |gap| 125.3% · pm_range 14.3%

WMT 2026-02-19 · BMO · c_m1=$126.62

SHORT -4.60%

WMT 2025-11-20 · BMO · c_m1=$100.61

SHORT -3.44%

WMT 2025-08-21 · BMO · c_m1=$102.57

SHORT -0.23%

📊 Earnings 5y — Ticker Patterns & Regime Shift

🟢 Growing Setups (WR↑ trend in 2024-26)

👑 Ticker Leaderboards