A/A+ Only — 12M Projection

Scoring v3 (walk-forward 74.4%) & v4 XGBoost (83%) · Progressive 2.0x · $300 start · Markov + fat tails + commissions + cleanliness sizing · 1000 MC

Start Risk/Day ($)

Geo Ratio

Scoring Model

Cleanliness Sizing

Commission $/trade

MC Paths

Equity Curve — A/A+ (v3 vs v4 comparison)

Risk/Day Progression

Monthly P&L (median)

Drawdown

Minus Days per Phase

P&L Distribution (final)

Trades/Day per Phase

Quarterly P&L (median + 5th pct)