All Sector/Theme Rotation Pairs Scan

351 pairs tested | 29 groups (13 BICS + 16 Finviz themes) | PM 9:00-9:25 drift + fc_confirms | 12m + 2m

820
Signals WR >= 55%
91.7%
Top: BigData SHORT vs Telecom
29
Confirmed 12m+2m >= 60%
+44.5pp
Max delta: FinTech LONG vs ITSvc

Elite Signals: 12m WR >= 75% + fc_confirms

LeadervsDir12m WRNPF2m WR2m NDelta pp
FV:Big DataFV:TelecomSHORT91.7%3610.68-0+41.7
FV:Big DataFV:Energy BaseSHORT90.6%3210.72-0+24.3
EnergyITServicesLONG88.6%3539.88-0+18.3
TechHardwareFV:TransportLONG87.5%3211.15-0+14.0
FV:SemisFV:TransportLONG84.4%1417.9590.7%43+31.5
FV:Energy BaseTechHardwareSHORT83.8%805.01-0+21.1
FV:Big DataFV:EVsSHORT83.8%376.53-0+32.6
FV:E-commerceFV:SemisSHORT83.3%427.75-0+22.5
FV:Big DataFV:OtherSHORT83.1%596.91-0+19.5
EnergyTechHardwareSHORT83.1%1186.6179.3%29+12.7
MaterialsITServicesSHORT82.2%18517.2691.6%119+30.2
FV:FinTechITServicesLONG80.7%5711.7596.4%28+44.5
FV:CloudFV:TelecomSHORT80.0%9514.4668.9%45+6.5
FV:CloudFV:FinTechSHORT79.8%1888.0876.5%68+6.1
FV:AIFV:TelecomSHORT79.2%1549.4169.2%52-4.3
FV:AISemiconductorsSHORT78.0%917.8687.2%47+4.4
SoftwareFV:TelecomSHORT77.9%1404.8070.9%55+41.7
FV:FinTechFV:E-commerceSHORT77.6%1657.9380.3%61+14.9
MaterialsFV:E-commerceSHORT76.8%4539.7182.5%240+9.2
FV:DefenseFV:Comm MetalsSHORT76.8%696.50-0+31.5
FV:AIMedDevicesLONG76.2%1015.3680.0%55+31.5
FV:FinTechFV:TransportLONG76.2%2148.4596.4%28+35.9
FV:Energy BaseFV:TelecomLONG75.7%2066.2887.2%39+27.9
FinancialsFV:TelecomSHORT75.4%3536.2983.3%54+30.8

Confirmed Robust: 12m AND 2m >= 60%, N >= 30

Top Confirmed by WR (High N)

PairDir12m WR12m N2m WR2m NDelta
FV:Semis vs TransportLONG84.4%14190.7%43+31.5
Materials vs ITSvcSHORT82.2%18591.6%119+30.2
FinTech vs ITSvcLONG80.7%5796.4%28+44.5
Cloud vs FinTechSHORT79.8%18876.5%68+6.1
AI vs SemiconductorsSHORT78.0%9187.2%47+4.4
Software vs TelecomSHORT77.9%14070.9%55+41.7
FinTech vs E-commSHORT77.6%16580.3%61+14.9
Materials vs E-commSHORT76.8%45382.5%240+9.2
AI vs MedDevicesLONG76.2%10180.0%55+31.5
FinTech vs TransportLONG76.2%21496.4%28+35.9
Energy Base vs TelecomLONG75.7%20687.2%39+27.9
Financials vs TelecomSHORT75.4%35383.3%54+30.8
Industrials vs SemiSHORT75.5%15581.8%33+18.3
Energy vs EVsSHORT75.1%18976.2%101+8.7
FV:Semis vs EVsLONG74.9%18773.4%79+12.7

Improving: 2m WR > 12m + 5pp

PairDir12m2mTrend
Materials vs CommMetalsSHORT74.4%95.7%+21.3
Energy vs CommMetalsLONG67.4%94.6%+27.2
Biotech vs SemiSHORT67.4%100%+32.6
FinTech vs MaterialsLONG67.7%87.5%+19.8
FinTech vs RealEstateLONG68.0%86.1%+18.1
Energy vs RealEstateLONG67.4%85.2%+17.8
Defense vs FinancialsSHORT67.7%89.2%+21.5
FinTech vs EnergySHORT64.7%85.3%+20.6
Healthcare vs SemiSHORT65.7%91.2%+25.5
Financials vs SemiSHORT74.7%83.3%+8.6

Key Patterns & Insights

PATTERN 1 Telecom as rotation anchor: When ANY growth sector leads vs Telecom in PM, that sector continues. FV:Semis LONG 84%, Software SHORT 78%, AI SHORT 79%, Cloud SHORT 80%, FinTech SHORT 75%, Financials SHORT 75%. Telecom = "dumb money" proxy.
PATTERN 2 Materials/Energy vs Growth (SHORT): When old economy leads PM vs growth, SHORT growth works. Materials vs ITSvc 82% (N=185), Materials vs E-comm 77% (N=453), Energy vs TechHW 83% (N=118). Capital flowing from growth to value = fade growth.
PATTERN 3 FV:Semis vs Transportation/EVs LONG: 84%/75% WR. Semiconductor PM leadership vs cyclicals = strong continuation. Confirmed 2m: 91%/73%.
PATTERN 4 AI vs MedDevices LONG: 76.2% (N=101), 2m 80% (N=55), delta +31.5pp. AI leading vs defensive healthcare = high conviction growth trade.
PATTERN 5 FinTech as rotation leader: FinTech LONG vs ITSvc 81%, vs Transport 76%, vs ConsDiscr 67%. When fintech leads in PM, continuation is strong. Delta +44pp vs ITSvc!
CAUTION: 2m regime inflation Many "improving" pairs may be regime-driven. Current high-VIX, SPY downtrend regime inflates many signals. Pairs like Biotech vs Semi SHORT at 100% (2m, N=20) are likely not sustainable. Trust 12m baseline more.
IMPLEMENTATION For scoring v5 integration, focus on:
1. Telecom-anchor signals (broadest applicability, N>100)
2. Materials/Energy vs Growth SHORT (high N, confirmed 2m)
3. FV:Semis LONG vs anything (our original finding, extended)
4. AI/FinTech LONG as growth leaders (high delta, moderate N)